Improvement of solar irradiance modelling during cloudy-sky days using measurements
Résumé
Clouds have a strong influence on the amount of solar irradiance reaching the ground. However, they have large spatio-temporal variations and are difficult to model. The 1D irradiance model of code_saturne is used to estimate the global and direct solar irradiances at the ground, taking into account the impact of atmospheric gas, clouds and aerosols. Simulations are conducted and compared to measurements at the French SIRTA observatory (instrumental site for atmospheric remote sensing research), located in Palaiseau, Ile-de-France in August 2009 and in the year 2014. Although irradiance is very well modelled during clear-sky days, it is over-estimated during cloud-sky days. The estimation of irradiance during cloudy-sky days is improved by coupling the model to on-site measurements of cloud parameters from the SIRTA. RMSEs around 59 W m−2 and 50 W m−2 and MBEs around +17 W m−2 and -18 W m−2 are obtained, respectively, for global and direct irradiances during cloudy-sky days using pyranometer measurements for cloud fraction and microwave radiometric measurements for liquid water path. A sensitivity analysis on the cloud parameters that may lead to the best improvement of simulated irradiance is performed. The cloud optical depth is the most important one, followed by the cloud fraction. The different instruments used for the determination of these parameters are examined. Moreover, hourly values of solar fluxes are analysed to determine and physically understand persistent errors between model and measurements when measured cloud parameters are used.
Domaines
Océan, Atmosphère
Origine : Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s)
